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The Case for AI-Enabled Gate Monitoring as Farm Security in the UK: A PRISMA-Guided Review of the Evidence on Rural Crime, Livestock Predation and Farm Access

2026-11-10 11:20:39
Steve Symes, Paul Fergus, Mark Carr, Omar McIver, Arwyn Jones

Abstract

Farm security in the UK rests on thinner evidence than its cost suggests. We ran a PRISMA guided review: twelve searches of Web of Science and Scopus on 2nd -4th November 2026 returned 1,183 records (761 unique), and grey-literature and hand-searches added 35 assessed sources. We synthesised 96 database records and 24 grey sources narratively. UK peer-reviewed evidence is small (16 records), and the main UK survey of crime and farmer mental health has 80 responses. Cost estimates rest on insurer claims: NFU Mutual put UK rural crime at £41.5 million in 2025, with livestock theft up almost 30% to about £4.5 million and dog attacks on livestock costing £1.95 million. The Home Office states that agricultural crime cannot be separately identified in its central data. We found no independent evaluation of cameras, sensors, trackers or marking; light and sound deterrents lost effect within one to five months in a systematic review of anti-predator interventions; and no study examined how often farm gates are left open or what follows. Camera-trap AI papers report accuracy on ecological datasets, none at a farm gate in the records we found, and in one comparison machine learning detected 41% of wildlife against 81% for analysts. We argue, as an inference from these gaps and not as a demonstrated effect, that continuous gate-level AI-mediated monitoring, as implemented in Fieldmark AI, would be highly beneficial for UK farm security. It would create the farm-level, time-stamped record that no official source holds, verify events that periodic human checks miss, resolve whether foxes, dogs or people were responsible, and give every other security measure something to be tested against. No study has yet shown that it reduces loss, and we set out the evaluation needed to show it.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.13933

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2611.13933.pdf


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