Abstract
Real-time 4D occupancy forecasting requires reliably extrapolating both ego motion and surrounding actor motion under strict latency budgets. Recent occupancy world models improve long-horizon fidelity through generative decoders and 3D volumetric modeling, yet their computational cost makes real-time deployment challenging. Light-weight BEV forecasters meet latency requirements but often blur or suppress fast-moving actors at longer horizons. We present UFMF (Ultra-Fast Multi-modal Forecaster), a real-time forecaster that keeps an attention-free diagonal state-space temporal core while injecting targeted kinematic and geometric structure where lightweight models typically fail. A radar-guided velocity-aware dynamic prior (VADP) decomposes future displacement into a linear extrapolation plus a learned horizon-dependent residual. The resulting per-cell flow fields transport a compact dynamic latent subspace during rollout. Two auxiliary training constraints complement this branch: world-frame dynamic supervision enforces inter-horizon trajectory coherence, and class-conditioned vertical-profile supervision regularizes BEV-to-3D lifting. UFMF operates at 122 FPS on a single RTX 4090 and reaches 0.45 fast-displacement mIoU on nuScenes, outperforming recent occupancy world models at a fraction of their computational cost.
Abstract (translated)
URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40947
