Payment applications such as fraud detection, authorization prediction, and payment optimization draw on overlapping transaction information. This motivates a reusable payments intelligence layer that shares learned representations and predictive signals, rather than developing predictive models independently for each task. Realizing this shared capability requires handling heterogeneous transaction fields, high-cardinality identifiers, lifecycle-dependent attributes, long histories, and rare outcomes while meeting latency and cost constraints. We present Large Payments Model (LPM), a domain-specific foundation model designed for operational use and trained from scratch on large-scale structured transaction data to learn reusable representations for payment prediction tasks. LPM employs field-specific encodings and lifecycle-aware self-supervision in two complementary architectures: the Independent variant uses hybrid masking and supports efficient per-transaction inference, while the Sequence variant incorporates entity-linked histories through compact latent representations for richer temporal context. Optional distillation enables resource-constrained deployment. We pretrain LPM on up to 400 billion tokens and study scaling, downstream performance, and representation reuse. LPM improves over strong task-specific baselines across multiple prediction tasks in Merchant and Treasury Services, demonstrating applicability in distinct payment domains. Its representations also facilitate adaptation to a target not observed during pretraining through compact task-specific components. Together with production deployment, these results position LPM as a practical basis for reusable payments intelligence.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15814
Aerial imagery captured by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) plays a vital role in applications such as surveillance, disaster response, and large-scale environmental monitoring. Automatic generation of textual descriptions for such imagery is essential for reducing manual inspection overhead and enabling better downstream decision-making. However, Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs), despite their impressive captioning capabilities, are prone to hallucination, producing descriptions that are inconsistent with the visual input. This problem is significantly amplified in aerial imagery due to its unique challenges such as extreme viewpoint variation, small objects, class imbalance, and ambiguous visual entities. Existing hallucination detection approaches either rely on computationally expensive large external models such as GPT-4, which perform poorly on aerial domains, or treat the problem as a rigid binary classification task, ignoring the inherent uncertainty in ambiguous cases. To address these limitations, we propose a lightweight, reference-free framework for hallucination detection and correction in free-form aerial image captioning. Our method leverages state-of-the-art MLLMs, specifically InternVL3 and Qwen2.5-VL, to detect hallucinated content in generated captions with minimal computational overhead. Detected hallucinations are corrected through a dedicated refinement module that improves the factual consistency of the original captions. Extensive experiments on the Labelled Illusion Dataset (LID) demonstrate that our framework significantly reduces hallucination rates while remaining practical for real-time deployment in resource-constrained environments. Code is available at: this https URL.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15809
Many manipulation tasks require carefully controlled contact forces for successful execution, yet large-scale, force-aware datasets remain scarce. Handheld interfaces can help by transmitting interaction forces directly through the operator's arm, but most existing designs are tailored to simple linear grippers and do not match the nonlinear mechanics of widely used robotic grippers. We present RUMI, a handheld universal manipulation interface matched to the Robotiq 2F-85 with exchangeable fingertip sensors that preserves the target gripper geometry while enabling natural input before contact and force measurement after contact. By integrating the tracking system into a virtual reality headset, our method provides real-time augmented reality feedback about the kinematic feasibility of motion on the target robot platform. We further introduce a haptic feedback mechanism that supports force-aware teleoperation for simulated and real robots. A user study shows fewer episodes containing joint-limit violations with live robot visualization and pose initialization (3/50) than without augmented reality (16/50). We additionally train imitation policies from demonstrations, collected using two different fingertip modalities enabled by the gripper-matched hardware, and assess the haptic interface's capability for collecting force-aware teleoperation datasets in simulation.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15802
Controllable real-world video generation models can condition on a rendered graybox proxy video, which fixes layout, motion and camera. Coding agents can build such videos by reconstructing a 4D scene in Blender, yet no benchmark checks both these videos and the long, multi-shot scenes behind them. We introduce VibePrevisBench, a benchmark for 4D scene reconstruction: an agent turns a brief into an executable 4D scene and renders its proxy video. Its 242 tasks span four input kinds, including scripts, photos, continuations, and reference videos. Each delivery is scored along two evaluation dimensions. Rule-based Scene Check re-runs the code and compares the exported 4D scene with hidden ground truth facts in nine dimensions. VLM-based Screen Check asks a VLM judge whether the facts that pass can be recognized in the proxy video. We analyze the evaluation results and trajectories of 11 frontier coding agents and identify three key observations. First, multimodal understanding separates the agents, especially in understanding space and camera motion. Second, all agents seem to already master basic camera work and staging, and fail at challenging requests. Third, agents inspect their own renders but fail to correct their errors. Agents thus need better visual understanding of space and camera, explicit checks for challenging requests, and item-by-item verification of renders against the brief.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15789
Two rewards with the same expected payoff at the start of training can end a reinforcement-learning run in opposite places, with an honest model or one that bluffs. We study rewards that pay $b$ for a verdict that a checker cannot verify ("this program is correct") and $r$ for a certificate that it accepts (an input revealing a bug). To first order, a GRPO step makes the model more honest exactly when $\tilde{p}\,r/b>1+\kappa$. Here $\tilde{p}$ is the rate at which the checker accepts the model's certificates, weighted toward the items on which the model still gives both verdicts, and $\kappa$ is the pull of the items on which the unverifiable verdict is right. Both terms move during training. A checker raises $\tilde{p}$, so near the threshold honesty is a race, which a run just below the threshold can win and a run under a lottery (random pay with the same mean) cannot. The term $\kappa$ starts large and falls as the other items settle, so a run just above the threshold first dips toward bluffing, on code nearly to zero, before climbing back. Paying the honest verdict also pulls the other items toward it, which predicts a ceiling on the payoff ratio, above which the model gives the honest verdict where it is wrong. On propositional Datalog, two code models, and abstention on grade-school math, with $p$ the model's success rate before RL, no run above $pr/b=1$ ends collapsed, and runs under the checker can survive slightly below it. At $pr/b=3$, above the ceiling, both code models call about half of correct programs buggy. On depth-3 Datalog, training generously under the checker and then cutting the payoff keeps the model at least 67% honest in three seeds, at a ratio where the same model trained from the start falls to 4-15% and is at most 47% honest after 160 steps. On depth-2 Datalog, when honesty collapses, a linear probe fit before RL still reads the truth.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15779
System One models promise fast, general-purpose decision-making without lengthy token generation. However, understanding their capability spectrum and decision reliability requires more than aggregate performance on current benchmarks. Existing evaluations often provide limited insight into the breadth of model capabilities and the reliability of their decisions. We introduce SO-Arena, a benchmark characterizing the capability spectrum and decision reliability of System One models across 11 domains and five capability families. For the capability spectrum, SO-Arena offers evidence-grounded evaluation through reliable sources and manual verification of reference labels against model-visible inputs; fine-grained capability assessment through domain-specific difficulty criteria; and realistic interactive evaluation, where models iteratively execute actions in sandboxes. Reasoning-intensive tasks further enable system one-two comparison. Beyond accuracy, SO-Arena assesses decision reliability through two complementary measures: decision stability under controlled option-set changes and missing-answer recognition when no valid option is available. Evaluations across 21 models reveal that the benefits of scaling and additional reasoning vary substantially across domains. More importantly, strong overall performance does not necessarily imply reliable decision-making: the best-performing System One model ranks only seventh in reliability. Together, these findings highlight the need to characterize capability spectrum and decision reliability as complementary dimensions, providing a systematic view of the strengths and limitations of System One models.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15777
Anti-cancer drug response prediction (DRP) is critically important for precision oncology and therapeutic development. Currently, most DRP models are developed using drug screening data from immortalized cancer cell lines, which can differ substantially from patient tumors at the genomic and molecular levels, even though patient tumor response is the ultimate prediction target. To help bridge this gap and bring DRP models closer to their intended clinical application, we conducted four drug screening studies using patient-derived organoids (PDOs), which more faithfully recapitulate patient tumors than immortalized cell lines. These studies generated data for improving and evaluating DRP models, including multi-omics profiles of PDO lines, drug feature data, and treatment response measurements. Using these data, we retrained and evaluated multiple publicly available DRP models under three model-building scenarios: training models using cell line data only, training models using combined cell line and PDO data, and pretraining models on cell line data followed by fine-tuning on PDO data. We then evaluated and compared model prediction performance on PDOs across these analysis scenarios. In addition, we also assessed the consistency of drug screening viability data generated by different laboratories using different assay technologies and/or experimental protocols.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15769
Self-evolving visual agents keep what they learn as skills: key frames with step notes on a task's steps and their order. On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) is now a popular way to train such skills into a vision-language model that matches, on its own answers, a teacher that also reads the written order. At deployment, frames often go missing or show an unusual order, as when a person or a website reorders the steps. Existing internalization methods keep any order they store in the frame-reading weights: trained on full frames, the model guesses when they are missing, and trained with frames withheld, it stores the order, so memory can override what it sees. We propose PriorSplit, which fills in missing frames from an order kept outside the model, with no training beyond OPSD. It counts which of two neighboring steps comes first in training episodes, and the model checks if both asked steps are in view: if so, it answers from the frames, and otherwise the counts answer. Extensive experiments on synthetic skills with five models and on step-tagged order questions in new episodes of seen web, cooking and egocentric tasks demonstrate that, with frames missing, PriorSplit outperforms every compared method at OPSD's training cost. With Qwen3-VL-4B on synthetic skills, it also stays close to OPSD on unusual orders, where methods that gain most by storing the order fall behind.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15766
Parameterized-action MDPs (PAMDPs) ask an agent to choose a discrete action together with continuous parameters whose meaning depends on that choice. Model-free PAMDP methods act fast but need many interactions; model-based methods are sample-efficient but plan at every decision, which makes them slow to act. We introduce HyLI (Hybrid Latent Imagination), a model-based agent that learns a hybrid policy entirely in the latent imagination of a world model and acts with a single forward pass. To address learning problems that the PAMDP structure creates, HyLI adds counterfactual mode evaluation, which gives every discrete action a learning signal at every imagined state, and success-window replay, which keeps rare successes in training. On seven standard PAMDP benchmarks, HyLI is within one published standard deviation of, or above, the published score of the strongest model-free baseline in our comparison on all 7 tasks, reaches 90% of that score with 2.4x fewer environment steps than that baseline (5.0x when its reward-free pre-training is counted), and decides 67x faster than the model-based planner DLPA at its published planner settings. It is the only method in our comparison that is both more sample-efficient than that baseline and fast enough for real-time control.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15744
Interpreting a patient's hospital course depends on when symptoms developed, tests were performed, and treatments began. Discharge summaries often leave this chronology unclear, while structured electronic health record (EHR) tables timestamp only some of these events. We reconstruct clinical timelines by retrieving structured evidence for narrative events and jointly revising their estimated times. Each extracted occurrence carries a persistent unique identifier (UID) linked to its source span, keeping repeated mentions distinct throughout reconstruction. We also introduce GAVEL, a large language model (LLM) judge that checks disagreements between two timelines against the note and structured record and cites evidence for its verdicts. We evaluated six open-weight models on 40 clinician-annotated discharge summaries. Our pipeline recovered more reference events than LLM-Timeline and TKW2 when each comparison used the same backbone. For GLM-5.2, adding structured evidence improved timestamp agreement with essentially unchanged event recovery; ablations showed that links to timestamped source rows contributed to this improvement. Results varied across the other models, with some timing gains accompanied by fewer recovered events. Both GAVEL judges, GLM-5.2 and MiMo-V2.6-Pro-RL, favored multimodal over text-only GLM-5.2 timelines, while neither clearly distinguished the DeepSeek V3.2 variants. Manual review upheld most sampled GAVEL findings. The source links allow reconstructed times to be checked, and GAVEL identifies disagreements for human review.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.13062
Knowing when a large language model's (LLM's) response can be trusted is critical for its safe use. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) can help LLMs recognize if their responses may be unreliable. Existing taxonomies organize UQ methods by uncertainty source or estimation mechanism. They leave unresolved the question of where uncertainty is observed in the model's computation. The answer matters because the observation point determines whether an estimator has access to enough information to recover a given target, and how well it can recover it. Drawing on mechanistic interpretability, we define four mechanistic observation lenses: the structural lens observes component updates, the representational lens observes hidden states, the distributional lens observes token probabilities, and the semantical lens observes distributions over meanings. We relate these lenses through the residual stream and order them by the information they carry, which gives a principle for selecting UQ methods for different targets. We survey existing methods through the four lenses. Furthermore, we distinguish evaluation targets, criteria, and metrics to clarify different UQ evaluation protocols. Finally, we identify open problems and research directions to connect uncertainty estimation to the internal computation and downstream use of LLMs.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15735
Enterprise agents accumulate memory across dozens of sessions in which facts contradict, get superseded, and blur as similarly named entities collide in embedding space. The field treats this as a retrieval problem; we show it is not. On ENT-310, a synthetic enterprise sales-agent memory benchmark of 310 queries (210 answerable, 100 unanswerable), a vanilla Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) reader over a memory store already matches strong memory systems on the recall pillars. Retention and currency are near-saturated, roughly 0.93 to 0.98 for every competent system, so recall is essentially solved. What remains unsolved is resolution: which entity a query refers to, which time-state is current, and whether to commit an answer at all or decline when evidence is insufficient. We propose DISCERN (DISambiguation and Cross-session Episodic memoRy Navigation), an agent-memory framework built on a single rule: preserve at write, resolve at read. At write time DISCERN builds a strictly additive bi-temporal provenance graph that never merges confusable entities and never drops superseded values. At read time a zero-LLM tool surface drives an agentic loop that navigates this graph and commits exactly one of four gated terminal actions. A four-judge LLM-as-a-Judge council scores two axes: answer correctness on answerable questions, and the answer-versus-abstain decision as a classification problem. On ENT-310, DISCERN is the best-calibrated system on abstention (F1 0.924 versus at most 0.802 across eight baselines) and leads macro answer correctness under equal pillar weighting (0.861 versus 0.806 for the strongest baseline), a lead driven by entity resolution (0.800, where no baseline exceeds 0.40). Applied with zero tuning to the full LoCoMo corpus, the same pipeline again leads macro answer correctness (0.663 versus 0.638) and stays among the best-calibrated on false-premise abstention.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15729
Heavy-tailed bandit learners must tell a poor arm from an arm whose favorable rewards have not yet appeared. We characterize this obstruction through a scale of one-sided visibility conditions on the optimal reward law: the mean hidden in a rare event is at most a constant multiple of a retained central moment. A quantile-trimmed UCB index that is given the visibility constants attains arm-specific moment rates at every exponent, with no lower bound on the exponent. Conversely, every strategy with a fixed exploration budget has polynomial regret on each law that violates the corresponding condition. For the variance benchmark we determine the order of both budget constants in the visibility level. The frontier depends on the largest exponent the benchmark promises, and the resulting classes are strictly nested. The same index has logarithmic expected regret when rewards are integrable, with a coefficient that can be exponential in the inverse gap.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.12140
Improving disability representation in AI-generated media requires community-specific datasets, yet openly sharing such data can expose communities to misuse, decontextualization, and exploitation. We examine how disability communities can participate in dataset governance through context-sensitive licensing. Working with three disability advocacy organizations, we conducted semi-structured interviews, an educational webinar and modular license activity to promote community participation in data stewardship. Our findings show that governance in these high-context communities relies on organizational memory (especially situated harms); both formal authority and informal relational practices; communication; and resulting trust. The modular license activity made organizational data choices more accessible and values-led, allowing communities to adapt Creative Commons clauses to express permitted uses, sector-specific restrictions, safeguarding requirements, and commitments to respectful representation. Yet, concerns remain about monitoring and enforcing appropriate data use. We contribute (1) an empirical account of governance tensions, (2) a practical modular approach, and (3) design implications for AI data platforms that support relational, context-sensitive governance beyond standardized, one-size-fits-all frameworks.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15720
Post-training can improve rewarded behavior while weakening capabilities users still need. We study two GRPO branches from a shared supervised checkpoint in a multilingual mixture-of-experts model. The released branch gains 36.07 points on MATH but loses 19.32 F1 points on XQuAD-Indic, while XQuAD-English improves under the same scoring rule. An independently trained sibling adds Indic instruction following and language-aware shaping. It recovers the regressing Indic task scores and preserves MATH, but does not restore script compliance and trades off competition mathematics and code. In a later round, judge training is followed by a sharp extraction decline from the Indic branch; reward-free distillation from its earlier checkpoint restores most of the lost F1. A MATH score decomposition associates most of the measured gain with increased boxed-answer emission; accuracy among boxed answers changes little. These results show why benchmark scores should be read alongside the response forms they reward.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15717
Machine learning models are increasingly used to support freight transportation decisions, but their predictions are rarely accompanied by evidence that the associated explanations can be trusted. In this study we investigate explainable machine learning for classifying shipments as Air/Air Charter or Truck/Ocean using the PEPFAR Supply Chain Management System Delivery History dataset, with 5,964 shipment records and 47 input features after cleaning, where freight cost and pack price are excluded as near-proxies of the transportation mode. We compare three Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) architectures, Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and gradient boosting with imbalance-aware metrics and paired significance tests across one hundred random replications. We then evaluate the explanations themselves, namely the stability of SHAP feature rankings across retraining and across models, the faithfulness of SHAP and LIME attributions under a feature-deletion test, and the geographic structure of the destination effects, which we map for all 38 destination countries. The results suggest that the tree ensembles significantly outperform the neural and linear models (86.8% against 83.3-85.0% mean testing accuracy) while their leading features remain the most stable across retraining. Removing the five features ranked most important by SHAP or LIME changes the predicted probabilities roughly four times as much as removing randomly chosen features. The destination effects form a coherent geographic pattern that simple port access does not explain. However, models with similar accuracy disagree substantially on which features matter most, and thus explanation stability and faithfulness should be assessed before such explanations are used to support freight transport decisions.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15716
We introduce Curiosity-0826-4B, an updated version of the generative medical event foundation model trained on Epic Cosmos that simulates patient timelines to produce zero-shot clinical predictions. Curiosity-0826-4B incorporates a broader patient population and richer clinical event representations, while generally matching or exceeding Curiosity-0226-1B, the largest model in the previous Curiosity-0226 series, on evaluated tasks supported by both models. Laboratory value prediction improved, with MAE 18--46% lower than that of Curiosity-0226-1B. We evaluated prediction of disease events across pediatric cohorts aged 2--17 years. AUROCs for new asthma diagnosis (0.742--0.785) and asthma exacerbation (0.829--0.852) were comparable to those in the adult reference cohort, while AUROCs for sickle cell crisis (0.820--0.847) were lower than in adults (0.915). Explicit representation of documented death enabled new mortality prediction tasks among adults across hospice, inpatient, and ambulatory settings (AUROC 0.821--0.942). Scaling-law analysis guided compute-optimal initial pretraining followed by continued pretraining with context extension. The resulting Curiosity-0826-4B model has more parameters (4.3B versus 1B) and a longer context window (16K versus 8K). It processes 56% fewer training tokens and requires 2.2 times the training floating point operations (FLOPs) compared with its predecessor. By extending a common zero-shot prediction strategy to pediatric patients and additional outcomes, Curiosity-0826-4B broadens opportunities to develop clinical and operational applications without training separate task-specific models. Further validation should assess local calibration, performance across patient subgroups and event frequencies, timeline completion rates, and generalization to new settings, alongside prospective evaluation of clinical and operational utility.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15710
Federated Bayesian Optimization (FedBO) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for enhancing Bayesian Optimization (BO) in distributed, privacy-sensitive settings, enabling agents to accelerate the optimization of their local objectives by sharing knowledge about their similarities without exposing raw data. However, existing methods rely on restrictive assumptions, such as near-identical objective functions or shared Gaussian process hyperparameters that are often violated in heterogeneous real-world applications. We present GLOBAFED, a novel framework that enables efficient knowledge transfer across different but related objectives without compromising privacy. At its core is a probabilistic neural network surrogate with a shared feature-extracting backbone and agent-specific heads equipped with varia- tional Bayesian last layers to provide uncertainty estimates. During optimization, agents use federated learning on the shared backbone to collaboratively build a common latent feature representation, while agent-specific heads adapt to their individual objectives. Our empirical results demonstrate that GLOBAFED significantly accelerates convergence and reaches better final performance compared to state-of-the-art FedBO baselines, and enables agents to warm-start their optimization from previously learned global features.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15707
AI-based question-answering systems are increasingly used for user support, including at high-performance computing (HPC) facilities. However, existing systems lack a systematic, deployment-oriented approach for evaluating final-answer quality and attributing failures to specific components. They also remain largely static after deployment, apart from periodic knowledge-base updates. We present AskALCF, an agentic log-analysis and improvement pipeline for HPC user support. AskALCF evaluates production interactions at a fine-grained level, identifies whether failures arise from missing knowledge, retrieval, prompting, model behavior, or tool execution, and routes each failure to an actionable repair. Its diagnostic core combines answer-quality assessment with a two-scope sufficiency test that distinguishes information missing from the documentation corpus from information present but not retrieved. We further introduce a controlled harness-training process that uses expert references, null edits, and explicit ship, revert, or decline decisions to improve the diagnostic pipeline reliably. Across 2,174 support turns, AskALCF reduced unattributable failures from 41.4% to 14.2%, while harness training improved expert agreement from 108/150 to 123/150 turns. These results demonstrate a governed form of self-evolution in which production evidence drives targeted system improvements. By turning production interactions into fine-grained diagnoses and actionable repairs, AskALCF provides a systematic foundation for continuously improving deployed AI support systems beyond knowledge-base updates alone.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.15700
As AI web agents proliferate, combining large language models with autonomous, browser-level control, indiscriminate content scraping by web agents has emerged as a privacy and security challenge. Existing defenses, such as this http URL and active bot-blocking, are insufficient, as they are widely violated and easily circumvented. In this work, we demonstrate that AI web agents can be effectively distinguished from humans and traditional crawlers using a multi-layer fingerprint based on both network layer characteristics (e.g., TLS, HTTP) and browser interaction behavior. We implement this mechanism as a programmatic logging framework that can be deployed on a live, instrumented domain. By analyzing six prominent agent frameworks (AutoGen, Browser Use, Claude, Gemini, ChatGPT, and Skyvern), we uncover latent structural differences in how these systems assemble HTTP requests, establish TLS/HTTP connections, and execute autonomous browser actions. Feeding these multi-layer features into a decision tree classifier, our framework achieves high-fidelity identification (100% accuracy), successfully isolating distinct agent architectures and differentiating agent traffic from both human browsing baselines and legacy crawlers. Our findings demonstrate that cross-layer agent tracking provides a robust approach to content protection and web security policy enforcement.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.20910